One last post about footy tipping, and it’s for the 1897 VFL season. The average percentage of correct guesses is 76%, better than average and better than this system’s average for 2007 or 2008.
Rounds 2 to 14 and the finals of the 1897 season on the X axis, correct guesses from 0/4 to 4/4 on the Y axis.
Full tally:
Rd 2: xxxx 4/4
Rd 3: -xxx 3/4
Rd 4: x--- 1/4
Rd 5: -xxx 3/4
Rd 6: -xxx 3/4
Rd 7: /-xx 2/3
Rd 8: --xx 2/4
Rd 9: -xxx 3/4
Rd 10: xxxx 4/4
Rd 11: xxxx 4/4
Rd 12: xxxx 4/4
Rd 13: xx-x 3/4
Rd 14: xx-x 3/4
Finals: --xxxx 4/6
Following on from my previous post about footy tipping based on ladder position. This time, it’s for 2007, and the strategy is not as successful. The average percentage of correct guesses is 62%, still better than average.
Rounds 2 to 22, the finals, and the Grand Final of the 2007 season on the X axis, correct guesses from 0/8 to 8/8 on the Y axis.
Round 1 omitted because I don’t feel like coming up with another table based on NAB Cup results and winning margins. The inclusion of the Grand Final result can make up for that.
Full tally:
Rd 2: xx--xx-- 4/8
Rd 3: xx----xx 4/8
Rd 4: x-----xx 3/8
Rd 5: -xxxx--- 4/8
Rd 6: x---xxxx 5/8
Rd 7: --xx---x 3/8
Rd 8: xx-xx-x- 5/8
Rd 9: --xxxx-- 4/8
Rd 10: x/x---xx 4/7
Rd 11: ---xxxx- 4/8
Rd 12: xx-x--x- 4/8
Rd 13: xxxxxxx- 7/8
Rd 14: x--x--xx 4/8
Rd 15: --xxxxxx 6/8
Rd 16: xx-x-xxx 6/8
Rd 17: xx-xxxx- 6/8
Rd 18: /xx--x-x 4/7
Rd 19: -xx-x--x 4/8
Rd 20: x/xxx--x 5/7
Rd 21: xxxx--x- 5/8
Rd 22: -xxxxx-x 6/8
Finals: xxxx-xxx 7/8
Grand: x 1/1
The upcoming AFL grand final got me thinking about football and footy tipping. I was curious, so I decided to work out what the results would be if you always went for whichever team was higher on the ladder:
Rounds 1 to 22 and the finals of the 2008 season on the X axis, correct guesses from 0/8 to 8/8 on the Y axis.
The average percentage of correct guesses turns out to be 72%. Not overwhelming, but significantly better than average (the 50% you would expect from randomly picking).
Full tally:
Rd 1: -x-x-x-x 4/8 (based on pre-season)
Rd 2: -x-xxx-- 4/8 (based on ladder from here onwards)
Rd 3: xxx-xxxx 7/8
Rd 4: xxxxx--x 6/8
Rd 5: xx-xx/-x 5/7
Rd 6: xx-xx/xx 6/7
Rd 7: xxxxxx-x 7/8
Rd 8: -xxxxxxx 7/8
Rd 9: -xxx--xx 6/8
Rd 10: xx--xxxx 6/8
Rd 11: xxxxxx-x 7/8
Rd 12: --xxxxx- 6/8
Rd 13: xx-x-xx- 5/8
Rd 14: x-xx-xx- 5/8
Rd 15: x-xxxxx- 6/8
Rd 16: -x-xxxx- 6/8
Rd 17: x----x-x 3/8
Rd 18: xxxxxxxx 8/8
Rd 19: xx-xxx-- 5/8
Rd 20: x-x-xxx- 5/8
Rd 21: x-xx-xx- 5/8
Rd 22: -x-xx-xx 5/8
Finals: x-xxxxxx 7/8
As the commercial says, it’s “a wagon with the word ’sport’ in front of it”.
Advance Australia Fair, our national anthem, is not a bad one—it doesn’t mention God or war at all, for example. However, the second verse is rarely used, which is a shame. So, I propose taking the best bits of each verse and making the super-anthem:
Beneath our radiant Southern Cross
We’ll toil with hearts and hands
To make this Commonwealth of ours
Renowned of all the lands
Our land abounds in nature’s gifts
Of beauty rich and rare
In history’s page, let every stage
Advance Australia Fair.
With courage let us all combine,
Advance Australia Fair.
This version:
- Does away with the antiquated notions of us being young and girtness
and replaces it with easily the best part of the entire song
- Keeps the nature’s gifts part, because our plains aren’t completely boundless
- Gets rid of the self-referential line about singing the anthem (and the word ’strains’, which I certainly didn’t understand until I looked it up) and replaces it with the line that usually follows the ‘boundless plains’ couplet
As if new epsiodes of The Simpsons aren’t bad enough—and they are—on the episode that aired here yesterday, JABF10 (’Marge Gamer’), the whole thing was sped up by 5-10% (I assume this was done locally). The end result? Ridiculous and distracting high-pitched voices. Very not cool. I assume that’s to fit more material into a small amount of time, but that’s stupid because it was a particularly terrible episode to begin with that could have been easily shortened (or, shockingly enough, they could have shown less advertisements).
Compare the original, sped-up version to the slowed-down, ‘how it should sound’ version.
What were the odds that the voiceover guy on Australia Post’s ‘daily’ ads had a cold when he was doing the recording? You’d think they could have postponed it by a week or something.
After Channel 9 (Australia) first showed previews for their upcoming 2007 lineup, I expected this show would have more of a gladiatorial angle—spears, lion pit, that sort of thing. Alas.
Everyone loves ABC Learning Centres, Australia’s favourite profit-driven childcare company. I especially love the management lingo (weasel words) used in their advertisements and their website. Specifically, what inspired me to make this weblog post was a television ad I saw in which they mentioned ‘learning outcomes’ for these young children. Come on. These children do not need learning outcomes.
Our early childhood personnel bring their own individual skills and experiences to the classroom enhancing their own personal teaching style. Variations within classroom programs will occur as early learning personnel focus on the different needs and interests of each child with the uniqueness of each child being the focus of our learning environments. Each centre has a clear set of goals based on a philosophy established from a sound knowledge of early childhood education theories and practices. These goals form the basis of each classroom’s program.
That entire paragraph says absolutely nothing. It’s absolute drivel and an affront to the English language.
Categories: Complainin' and
Local
I love everything the Chaser team does, and that includes the War. If you haven’t seen it, it’s a comedy show, recorded in front of a live studio audience, where the team discuss various happenings and generally generate comdy. This week, among other things:
- they played clips of, and talked about, Chas Licciardello’s boneheading at the Logies (as I called it last week)—he scored a grand total of around 34 appearances.
- Craig Reucassel went door-to-door with email spam
- Charles Firth vox pop’d Americans, trying to see if he could get one to break George Bush’s record of saying ‘freedom’ 17 times in one speech/conversation (he succeeded)
This is one show I’ve got to get on DVD, but in the meantime I’m downloading the episodes.